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	<title>Hoxton Financial, Inc.</title>
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	<link>http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com</link>
	<description>Hoxton Financial, Inc. is one of America’s leading comprehensive wealth management firms. We are committed to helping you improve your long-term financial success.</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Thu, 11 Mar 2010 22:06:17 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>Is Deflation on the Horizon?</title>
		<link>http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/is-deflation-on-the-horizon/</link>
		<comments>http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/is-deflation-on-the-horizon/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Mar 2010 22:06:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Rob Hoxton</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/?p=399</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[With all the money being pumped into the worldwide economy and our large state and federal deficits, many investors are preparing for a surge of inflation sometime down the road. Logically, that makes sense--but is that what will really happen?
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><strong>IS DEFLATION</strong><strong> </strong>on the horizon? With all the money being pumped into the worldwide economy and our large state and federal deficits, many investors are preparing for a surge of <em>inflation</em> sometime down the road. Logically, that makes sense&#8211;but is that what will really happen?</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Yes, the U.S. government has tried to pump, prime, and print its way to economic growth, but that has its limits. This money has to find a productive use or else it won&#8217;t &#8220;stimulate.&#8221; Here are a few things that are blocking our stimulus money from stimulating the economy.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>First, banks have excess cash. Bank lending plays an important role in transforming easy money into economic growth. Unfortunately, banks are sitting on nearly $1 trillion of excess reserves at the Federal Reserve, up from essentially zero in the fall of 2008, according to data from the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. This is $1 trillion above and beyond reserve requirements, which means banks could use that money to lend to businesses and consumers instead of keeping it safe and secure with the Fed.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Second, the unemployment rate is near 10% and jobless claims are remaining stubbornly high. It&#8217;s hard for consumers to spend when they are out of a job or worried about losing one.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Third, consumers are de-leveraging and paying down debt. By paying off their bills, consumers have less money to spend on goods and services. Less spending may lead to less economic growth.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Fourth, because of the deep recession, the U.S. has substantial excess capacity in its industrial sector. According to the Federal Reserve, capacity utilization was only 72.6% in January, which is well below the 1972-2009 average of 80.6%. With all this slack, there may be little upward pressure on prices because factories have room to add production.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Fifth, a little followed economic indicator from the Dallas Federal Reserve Bank called the Trimmed Mean Inflation Index (TMII) is <em>declining</em>. This is an alternative measure of inflation, which adjusts for the month-to-month noise found in more popular inflation measures like CPI. For the 12 months ending December 2009, the TMII (inflation rate) was 1.3%&#8211;the lowest rate on record dating back to 1978.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>So, while many people are talking about inflation, we also have to consider the possibility that <em>deflation</em> could happen first and then be followed by inflation down the road. It may not be a high probability, but it is on our radar and could impact the markets if it comes to fruition.</div>
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		<title>Hiring an Advisor? Ask About Fees Twice</title>
		<link>http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/hiring-an-advisor-ask-about-fees-twice/</link>
		<comments>http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/hiring-an-advisor-ask-about-fees-twice/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Feb 2010 21:08:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Rob Hoxton</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/?p=376</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Amazingly, many investment advisors are unaware of a fund’s trading costs and this component of expense can be a big one. If the advisor doesn’t know they exist he/she is unlikely to quote them to you. Trading costs are the variable costs paid by a mutual fund to brokerage firms which place securities trades on behalf of the fund. One of the reasons that so many advisors and investors are unaware of these costs is that they are not usually disclosed in the prospectus. You will find them only in the fund’s Statement of Additional Information (SAI).
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>With the economy in difficult straights and the financial markets leaving investors wondering when the next shoe will drop, many do it yourself investors are rethinking whether or not to hire an investment advisor. For years investors have turned to investment representatives at large brokerage firms.   Lately though, informed investors have begun looking for greater options and in growing numbers they are turning to smaller independent firms which tout fee transparency, a fiduciary relationship, lower advisor to client ratios and lower costs. A diligent and capable advisor can help develop an investment strategy that may fit the investor’s needs, improve returns, manage risk and reduce the work-load and stress level.</p>
<p>One of the primary reasons that investors are reluctant to hire an advisor is perceived cost. Interestingly, investors are unaware of some of the more punitive hidden costs. When we think of cost, the first one that comes to mind is commissions. Commissions are fees paid to investment sales professionals for selling you an investment. We will limit our focus to mutual funds for the sake of this article. Five percent (5%) is a typical commission for the purchase of a retail mutual fund. Sometimes commissions are hidden in the form of surrender charges and 12b-1 fees but they are present nevertheless. Of course do-it-yourself investors buy “no-load” mutual funds. These are mutual funds that are sold directly by the mutual fund company without the help of a sales representative so no commissions are charged.</p>
<p>When considering whether or not to hire an investment advisor, you should always ask how the advisor is compensated. Where possible you should opt for an advisor who is paid a fee for advice rather than a commission, that way you will know that the advisor won’t be tempted to move you in and out of investments for the sake of generating commissions. Keep asking questions. There is often a big difference between what the advisor is paid and what you actually pay in costs. The better question would be “What are the total costs of the investment strategy?”</p>
<p>There may actually be three different costs associated with an advisor managed investment portfolio. The first is the advisor’s fee which is generally quoted as a percentage of assets under management. At many of the larger firms this fee may be as high as 3% per year. One way to determine an advisor’s maximum fee is to consult their Form ADV (Part II and Schedule F). This is the disclosure document required by the federal government for all Registered Investment Advisors.</p>
<p>The advisory fee is just the tip of the iceberg though. In addition to paying the advisor, you will pay the mutual fund company, even if you are buying no-load mutual funds. The mutual fund costs paid by the investor typically include the fund’s internal expense ratio which according to Morningstar averages 1.32% per year and the mutual fund’s trading expenses which according to a recent study by Virginia Tech, The University of Virginia and Boston College averages 1.44%. Total investment costs could easily top 4%.</p>
<p>You will want to make sure you get a clear answer to your question about costs. Amazingly, many investment advisors are unaware of a fund’s trading costs and this component of expense can be a big one. If the advisor doesn’t know they exist he/she is unlikely to quote them to you. Trading costs are the variable costs paid by a mutual fund to brokerage firms which place securities trades on behalf of the fund. One of the reasons that so many advisors and investors are unaware of these costs is that they are not usually disclosed in the prospectus. You will find them only in the fund’s Statement of Additional Information (SAI).</p>
<p>So when you ask an advisor what his/her fee is, be sure you get the complete answer, not just “My fee is one percent”.</p>
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		<title>Hoxton Financial Event Tonight!</title>
		<link>http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/hoxton-financial-event-tonight/</link>
		<comments>http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/hoxton-financial-event-tonight/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Jan 2010 21:18:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Rob Hoxton</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/?p=373</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Clients and friends of Hoxton Financial will be dazzled by the presentation skills of the Hoxton advisor team tonight. Forcasts, Past &#38; Present 2010.
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Clients and friends of Hoxton Financial will be dazzled by the presentation skills of the Hoxton advisor team tonight. Forcasts, Past &amp; Present 2010.</p>
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		<title>You Can&#8217;t Put the Genie Back in the Bottle so Fast</title>
		<link>http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/you-cant-put-the-genie-back-in-the-bottle-so-fast/</link>
		<comments>http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/you-cant-put-the-genie-back-in-the-bottle-so-fast/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 25 Jan 2010 16:18:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Rob Hoxton</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/?p=342</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
Even the President’s own Barney Frank argued against this rapid fire re-regulation of the banks. You can't put the Glass Stegall genie back in the bottle so fast! Not surprisingly, the markets hated the President’s comments and sold off.

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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What a week! While the US market was only open for four days, there was no shortage of interesting information to digest.</p>
<p><strong>First,</strong> the election of Scott Brown in the Massachusetts Senate race served to illustrate that voters have become dissatisfied with something. Of course, it depends on which pundit you ask but the possible culprits could include healthcare, unemployment, the economy or the environment. Whatever the cause, it cannot be denied that the tenor of the administration’s populist rhetoric was stepped up after the election. The markets have historically voted against this sort of political talk by selling off.</p>
<p><strong>Second,</strong> the President announced his intention of limiting the size of big banks and reducing the potential for systemic risk by banning proprietary trading operations, ownership of hedge funds or private equity operations, forcing banks to sell these assets at fire sale prices.  Even the President’s own Barney Frank argued against this rapid fire re-regulation of the banks. You can&#8217;t put the Glass Stegall genie back in the bottle so fast! Not surprisingly, the markets hated the President’s comments and sold off.</p>
<p><strong>Third,</strong> international news is not good. There is growing evidence that Greece’s fiscal problems are spreading to other vulnerable European countries such as Spain and Portugal. Further, China, which recently  initiated a massive stimulus plan is talking about raising interest rates in an effort to slow its economy down. </p>
<p>These news items helped send the S&amp;P 500 index to a weekly loss of 3.9%. While we may be out of the heat of the financial crisis that engulfed us in the fall of 2008, last week’s action shows that risks remain and we always have to remain vigilant.</p>
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		<title>Regulatory Reform for Banks! Not a New Idea.</title>
		<link>http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/regulatory-reform-for-banks-not-a-new-idea/</link>
		<comments>http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/regulatory-reform-for-banks-not-a-new-idea/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 Jan 2010 01:31:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Rob Hoxton</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/?p=334</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I for one think reinstating Glass Stegall (GSA) would do the trick. GSA was enacted during the depression to protect the country from rogue bankers. Clinton repealed it and look what we got. Seems like a pretty simple fix to me. 
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div>Former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker was back in the news last week as he warned that the financial system needs broad reform or else we run the risk of another financial crisis.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>You may remember Volcker as the cigar-chomping Fed Chairman from 1979 to 1987 who raised interest rates dramatically to try and break the back of inflation in the early 1980s. He succeeded, but the price for success was a major recession.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>During his speech last week to the Economic Club of New York, Volcker argued that the Federal Reserve should be a key player in overseeing the financial system and that they, “should have the power to dismantle big banks that pose a systemic risk to the economy,” according to CNNMoney.com. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Volcker worries that as the economy continues to heal, the urgency for reform will fade and that will set the stage for the next crisis. While we will likely get some type of financial reform in coming months, we hope that it will preserve the principles that have made our country so great. I for one think reinstating Glass Stegall (GSA) would do the trick. GSA was enacted during the depression to protect the country from rogue bankers. Clinton repealed it and look what we got. Seems like a pretty simple fix to me. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Ironically, on the day Volcker spoke, the S&amp;P 500 index hit a fresh 52-week high, according to Briefing.com.</div>
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		<title>The Efficient Market?</title>
		<link>http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/the-efficient-market/</link>
		<comments>http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/the-efficient-market/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Jan 2010 20:53:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Rob Hoxton</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/the-efficient-market/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[DO THE WILD SWINGS WE’VE SEEN IN THE MARKETS over the past couple years defy explanation? How is it that the S&#038;P 500 index can drop 56% between October 9, 2007 and March 9, 2009 and then turn on a dime and rise 69% over the next 10 months, according to data from Yahoo! Finance? [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>DO THE WILD SWINGS WE’VE SEEN IN THE MARKETS over the past couple years defy explanation? How is it that the S&#038;P 500 index can drop 56% between October 9, 2007 and March 9, 2009 and then turn on a dime and rise 69% over the next 10 months, according to data from Yahoo! Finance? How can a company like Bank of America decline 94% and then rise 380% – all in less than the 30 months ending December 31, 2009? Or, how about Alcoa dropping 87% then more than tripling during the same period as Bank of America, according to The Wall Street Journal?</p>
<p>Aren’t the markets supposed to be “efficient” and “rational?”</p>
<p>These massive swings seem to happen with frightening frequency and investors who are unprepared for them will likely pay a heavy price. Benjamin Graham, arguably the “father” of security analysis and author of a classic book by the same name, said the price of a stock reflects two components. The first component, investment value, represents the discounted cash flow of all the company’s present and expected future earnings. The second component, speculative value, is driven by sentiment and emotions such as fear and greed.</p>
<p>It is not much of a stretch to suggest that an oscillation between investment value and speculative value may help explain the head-spinning volatility of the past few years. In other words, as markets rise or fall rapidly in short periods, speculative value may take prominence. Conversely, when markets are stable or moderately trending, investment value may take the lead.</p>
<p>Keeping this idea of investment value versus speculative value in mind can help us do a better job of maintaining a disciplined perspective on market volatility. It can help us better understand and potentially profit from the market’s periodic “inefficiency” and “irrationality.”</p>
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		<title>Bank Failures</title>
		<link>http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/bank-failures/</link>
		<comments>http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/bank-failures/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Dec 2009 18:24:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Rob Hoxton</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bank Failures to Rise]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/?p=326</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[FDIC Chair Sheila Bair is confident that the worst of the bank failures is yet to come.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CNBC reported this morning that FDIC Chair Sheila Bair is confident that the worst of the bank failures is yet to come. Her statement came with news that the big money center banks are racing to repay TARP funds. Of the 133 bank failures since the beginning of the crisis, very few are household names-something to be thankful for. When compared to the 1000 plus failures during the 1980s S&amp;L crisis, 133 pales in comparison.</p>
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		<title>Unemployment Numbers&#8230;What&#8217;s the Real Figure?</title>
		<link>http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/unemployment-numbers-whats-the-real-figure/</link>
		<comments>http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/unemployment-numbers-whats-the-real-figure/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 07 Dec 2009 15:47:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Rob Hoxton</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/?p=321</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Don't get me wrong, any good news on employment is great with me. I'm just not confident that the whole story is being told.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Last week was a positive week for the markets, celebrating with a 140 point rally early Friday on better than expected employment figures. Interestingly, by the end of the day massive selling took the gains away as if to suggest that market participants don&#8217;t believe the numbers. I don&#8217;t beleive them either.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, the Obama administration pitched that this was the best report since 2007. Don&#8217;t get me wrong, any good news on employment is great with me. I&#8217;m just not confident that the whole story is being told. I have read estimates that put real unemployment rates at 21 percent. Of course these estimates include workers who are underemployed or have just given up looking for a job.</p>
<p>If I lost my job as an investment advisor and took a job as a sales clerk in a retail shop, I would be underemployed and would want to be counted in the report.</p>
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		<title>Happy Thanksgiving!</title>
		<link>http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/happy-thanksgiving/</link>
		<comments>http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/happy-thanksgiving/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Nov 2009 14:37:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Rob Hoxton</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Thanksgiving Wishes]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/?p=315</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Best wishes for a safe and happy Thankgiving. Your investment team here at Hoxton is thankful for the opportunity to work with you to meet your financial goals. We are also thankful for a day off in the middle of the week. Yippee!
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Best wishes for a safe and happy Thankgiving. Your investment team here at Hoxton is thankful for the opportunity to work with you to meet your financial goals. We are also thankful for a day off in the middle of the week. Yippee!</p>
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		<title>Can We Learn from Wiley?</title>
		<link>http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/can-we-learn-from-wiley/</link>
		<comments>http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/can-we-learn-from-wiley/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Nov 2009 19:56:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Rob Hoxton</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/?p=308</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Remember when Wiley Coyotte would chase  Roadrunner off the edge of a cliff? There was always that awkward passage of time as he sheepishly tip-toed back to the edge only to plunge to the valley below. Recently, I have heard our economy&#8217;s current state described using this cartoon from our childhood. Why is it that [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="attachment_309" class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 134px"><img class="size-full wp-image-309" title="Coyotte" src="http://www.hoxtonfinancial.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/Coyotte.jpg" alt="Could We Learn a Lesson from Wiley?" width="124" height="93" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Could We Learn a Lesson from Wiley?</p></div>
<p>Remember when Wiley Coyotte would chase  Roadrunner off the edge of a cliff? There was always that awkward passage of time as he sheepishly tip-toed back to the edge only to plunge to the valley below. Recently, I have heard our economy&#8217;s current state described using this cartoon from our childhood. Why is it that Wiley never has a parachute?</p>
<p>It is likely that our economy will experience a double dip recession and investment portfolios should recognize this potential. As we enjoy this record recovery in securities prices, one cannot help but think what will happen if the economy slips into recession again. Now is the time to have your strategy in place.</p>
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